> [!todo] > - [ ] review @bjorck_2016 on crisis typologies | Period | <18th Century | 19th C | 20th C | 21st C | | ---------------------------- | ---------------------------------------- | ----------------------------------- | ------------------------------------------- | ----------------------------------------------- | | Disruption | Weather & Warfare | Economic & Weather | War & Economic | Economic & Pandemic | | Impact | regional hunger or famine | famines begin and end, respectively | disruptions impact all islands | disruptions affect entire globe | | Mitigation Strategy | Crop/production system diversity, *Kapu* | New crop integration, | Central planning, Market integrated storage | Entitlement programs | | Response/Adaptation Strategy | food alternates, Migration | Migration, *poi palaai* | | Civil society safety net, Transfer entitlements | Looking at your Food Crisis Typology Timeline and thinking about the **dual vulnerability** concept, here's how vulnerability types could be classified across periods: > [!llm] > ## Vulnerability Type Definitions: > > **Ecological Vulnerability** (<18th Century): > - Directly exposed to **environmental hazards** (drought, warfare) > - **Localized impacts** - disruptions affect specific regions > - **Built-in resilience** through biodiversity and social systems > - Risk stems from **immediate environmental/social factors** > > **Integration Vulnerability** (19th C - First Food Regime): > - Vulnerability emerges from **incorporation into global systems** > - **Transition period** - old systems breaking down, new ones not yet stable > - **Sandalwood famine** shows how external economic demand creates internal food crisis > - **One-way vulnerability** - external economic forces disrupt local systems > > **Dual Vulnerability** (20th C - Second Food Regime): > - **Export disruption** (plantation crops can't reach markets) > - **Import disruption** (food supplies can't reach population) > - **Same infrastructure** serves both vulnerabilities (ships) > - Maritime strikes perfectly demonstrate this dual exposure > > **Systemic Vulnerability** (21st C - Third Food Regime): > - **Global cascading effects** - local disruptions have worldwide impact > - **Financialized vulnerabilities** - supply chains, just-in-time delivery > - **Corporate concentration** creates single points of failure > - **Sharetaker responses** may reproduce rather than solve systemic vulnerabilities > > ## Key Evolution Pattern: > > **Localized → Integration → Dual → Systemic** > > Each period doesn't eliminate previous vulnerabilities but **adds new layers**. The Third Regime still has ecological vulnerability (climate change), integration vulnerability (global markets), AND dual vulnerability (import/export), PLUS new systemic vulnerabilities from corporate consolidation and financialization. > > This progression shows why **sharetaker solutions** may be insufficient - they address **dual vulnerability** (import dependence) but potentially **intensify systemic vulnerability** through corporate control. **Localized → Integration → Dual → Systemic**