# Hypotheses
1. food regime shifts also shift food system vulnerabilities and risk %% RISK TRANSFER BETWEEN SCALES? IS THIS NEW?%%
2. Export goods are re-oriented to support local food demand during crises
3. Crises (maritime especially) engrained 'ships stop coming' as a popular concern
4. consumption during disruptions is %% can be? %% a 'localization' process
5. per @suryanata_2002 increases in local production compete with existing local output sooner than displacing imports
1. the structure of local purchasing stays much the same, but who benefits changes
2. ==efforts to reduce imports and increase self-sufficiency have the potential to export profits and jeopardize existing farmers.==
3. Consideration of these 'net effects' requires planning for network scaling interventions
4. similar consideration was made with commodity crops per @taylor_1953
1. ‘The only new crop that looks like big money tomorrow is the macadamia nut. An import from Australia, it thrives even better in Hawaii than in its native home. ‘The problem with macadamias, as with all new crops, is finding land that will not cut into sugar or pineapple production. One answer is a project near Hilo known as Keeau Plantation." [@taylor_1953, p. 94]
6. risk, as a function of hazards and vulnerabilities, has shifted over time
1. as world systems and food regimes developed, they restructured island agofood systems, and change the risk landscape
1. this [[Risk Transfer]] mov
2. being part
3. how and to what extent is islandness socially constructed?
4. Can crisis be critical junctures for reshaping food systems and restructuring food regimes?
5. what kinds of new risk will arise in the 'local food, global capital' regime? ^0ae846
1. financialization of local food economy
2. logic of capital as primary, over that of local actors responding to community need?
3. eventual market exits causing production decline in vacuum created after consolidation
what are the things that make a given local agricultural industry resilient to change? how do the industries that have stuck around reproduce themselves?
for example, why did dairy go under but papaya stick around?